No smooth sailing in Lok Sabha polls for allies sans DMK support: Data

A party would need at least three lakh votes to win a parliamentary seat and so, the support of the DMK would be very crucial in all nine constituencies that the Congress is now contesting.

Published: 16th March 2019 12:40 AM  |   Last Updated: 16th March 2019 09:35 AM   |  A+A-

Congress President Rahul Gandhi and Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam DMK President M K Stalin join hands during the formal launch of 'United Progressive Alliance UPA ' a campaign in Tamil Nadu from the Kanyakumari parliamentary constituency at Nagercoil in Kanyakumari district Wednesday March 13 2019. | PTI

Express News Service

CHENNAI: The DMK has allotted as many as 19 of the 39 Lok Sabha constituencies in the State to its allies in the upcoming polls. An analysis of the votes earned by these parties in the past elections shows that except the VCK, none of the allies seems to have secured a decent percentage of public mandate.

Hence, the victory of all these allies would depend heavily on DMK's popularity.

For example, in 2014 when the Congress contested the Lok Sabha polls alone, the national party secured over one lakh votes only in two constituencies.

In all other 35 constituencies, it got less than 50,000 votes.

A party would need at least three lakh votes to win a parliamentary seat and so, the support of the DMK would be very crucial in all nine constituencies that the Congress is now contesting.

So is the case of the Left parties. In 2014, the CPI and CPM formed an alliance among themselves and contested 17 Lok Sabha constituencies.

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The CPM is now contesting from Coimbatore and Madurai as part of the DMK-led alliance.

In these constituencies, the party secured less than 50,000 votes in 2014 – Coimbatore (34,197) and Madurai (30,216).

The CPI is now contesting in Tirupur and Nagapattinam as part of the DMK alliance.

When the party contested these constituencies in 2014, it secured only 33,331 votes in Tirupur and 90,313 votes in Nagapattinam.

The firebrand leader Vaiko's MDMK is now contesting in Erode as part of the DMK alliance and it is said the party has considerable support in the western town.

In 2016 Assembly polls, the People's Welfare Alliance, in which the MDMK was a vital player, secured a total of only 47,174 in the six Assembly constituencies that constitute the Erode Lok Sabha constituency.

The MDMK itself contested in Erode (west) Assembly constituency and secured only 6,624 votes.

The case of smaller parties in the DMK alliance is even worse. Indhiya Jananayaka Katchi (IJK), which is now contesting in Perambalur, had contested in three of the Assembly constituencies that form the Perambalur Lok Sabha constituency in 2016 Assembly elections.

The party was then in the BJP-led alliance. The votes secured by the party were all in mere three digits – Lalgudi (892), Musiri (816) and Thuraiyur (577).

The Kongunadu Makkal Desiya Katchi is contesting in Namakkal now as part of the DMK alliance.

When the party in 2016 contested in the six Assembly constituencies that form the Namakkal Lok Sabha constituency, it secured a total of mere 33,740 votes.

Though the party claims to have support in the western region, it secured a total of only 1,67,560 votes in the 71 Assembly constituencies it contested in the western region in 2016.

The only party, which had secured a decent vote share is the VCK. For example, in 2016, the party's leader Thol Thirumavalavan secured 48,363 votes in the Kattumannarkoil Assembly constituency alone.

Similarly, in many of the Assembly segments falling under the Villupuram and Chidambaram Lok Sabha constituencies, the PWA, of which VCK was part, had secured at least 19,000 votes.

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  • casbbalchandhar

    Your analysis clearly shows that DMK combine will lose all seats to AIADMK alliance that is good for TN in particular and good for all india.
    9 days ago reply
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