NEW DELHI: As India’s economy grew, the hum of factories turned the sleepy, dusty village of Manesar into a booming industrial hub, cranking out everything from cars and sinks to smartphones and tablets. But jobs have run scarce over the years, prompting more and more workers to line up along the road for work, desperate to earn money.
Every day, Sugna, a young woman in her early 20s who goes by her first name, comes with her husband and two children to the city's labour chowk, a bazaar at the junction of four roads where hundreds of workers gather daily at daybreak to plead for work. It's been days since she or her husband got to work and she has only five rupees (six cents) in hand.
Scenes like this are an everyday reality for millions of Indians, the most visible signs of economic distress in a country where raging unemployment is worsening insecurity and inequality between the rich and poor. It's perhaps Prime Minister Narendra Modi's biggest challenge as the country marks 75 years of independence from British rule on Monday.
“We get work only once or twice a week,” said Sugna, who says she earned barely 2,000 rupees (USD 25) in the past five months. “What should I do with a life like this? If I live like this, how will my children live any better?”
Entire families leave their homes in India’s vast rural hinterlands to camp at such bazaars, found in nearly every city. Out of the many gathered in Manesar recently, only a lucky few got work for the day, digging roads, laying bricks and sweeping up trash for meagre pay, about 80 per cent of Indian workers toil in informal jobs including many who are self-employed.
India's phenomenal transformation from an impoverished nation in 1947 into an emerging global power whose USD 3 trillion economy is Asia’s third-largest has turned it into a major exporter of things like software and vaccines. Millions have escaped poverty into a growing, aspirational middle class as its high-skilled sectors have soared.
“It’s extraordinary — a poor country like India wasn’t expected to succeed in such sectors,” said Nimish Adhia, an economics professor at Manhattanville College.
This year, the economy is forecast to expand at a 7.4 per cent annual pace, according to the International Monetary Fund, making it one of the world's fastest-growing.
But even as India's economy swells, so has joblessness. The unemployment rate remains at 7 per cent to 8 per cent in recent months. Only 40 per cent of working-age Indians are employed, down from 46 per cent five years ago, the Center for Monitoring the Indian Economy (CMIE) says.
“If you look at a poor person in 1947 and a poor person now, they are far more privileged today. However, if you look at it between the haves and the have-nots, that chasm has grown,” said Gayathri Vasudevan, chairperson of LabourNet, a social enterprise.
“While India continues to grow well, that growth is not generating enough jobs - crucially, it is not creating enough good quality jobs,” said Mahesh Vyas, chief executive at CMIE. Only 20 per cent of jobs in India are in the formal sector, with regular wages and security, while most others are precarious and low-quality with few to no benefits.
That's partly because agriculture remains the mainstay, with about 40 per cent of workers engaged in farming.
As workers lost jobs in cities during the pandemic, many flocked back to farms, pushing up the numbers. “This didn’t necessarily improve productivity - but you’re employed as a farmer. It’s disguised unemployment,” Vyas said.
With independence from Britain in 1947, the country’s leaders faced a formidable task: GDP was a mere 3 per cent of the world’s total, literacy rates stood at 14 per cent and the average life expectancy was 32 years, said Adhia.
By the most recent measures, literacy stands at 74 per cent and life expectancy at 70 years. Dramatic progress came with historic reforms in the 1990s that swept away decades of socialist control over the economy and spurred remarkable growth.
The past few decades inspired comparisons to China as foreign investment poured in, exports thrived and new industries -- like information technology - were born. But India, a latecomer to offshoring by Western multinationals, is struggling to create mass employment through manufacturing. And it faces new challenges in plotting a way forward.
Financing has tended to flow into profitable, capital-intensive sectors like petrol, metal and chemicals. Industries employing large numbers of workers, like textiles and leather work, have faltered. This trend continued through the pandemic: despite Modi’s 2014 ‘Make in India’ pitch to turn the country into another factory floor for the world, manufacturing now employs around 30 million. In 2017, it employed 50 million, according to CMIE data.
As factory and private sector employment shrink, young jobseekers increasingly are targeting government jobs, coveted for their security, prestige and benefits.
Some, like 21-year-old Sahil Rajput, view such work as a way out of poverty. Rajput has been fervently preparing for a job in the army, working in a low-paid data-entry job to afford private coaching to become a soldier and support his unemployed parents.
But in June, the government overhauled military recruitment to cut costs and modernize, changing long-term postings into four-year contracts after which only 25 per cent of recruits will be retained. That move triggered weeks of protests, with young people setting vehicles on fire.
Rajput knows he might not be able to get a permanent army job. “But I have no other options,” he said. “How can I dream of a future when my present is in tatters?”
The government is banking on technology, a rare bright spot, to create new jobs and opportunities. Two decades ago, India became an outsourcing powerhouse as companies and call centres boomed. An explosion of start-ups and digital innovation aims to recreate that success - “India is now home to 75,000 startups in the 75th year of independence and this is only the beginning,” Minister of Commerce, Piyush Goyal, tweeted recently. More than 740,000 jobs have been created via start-ups, a 110 per cent jump over the last six years, his ministry said.
There's still a long way to go, in educating and training a labour force qualified for such work. Another worry is the steady retreat of working women in India, from a high of nearly 27 per cent in 2005 to just over 20 per cent in 2021, according to World Bank data.
Meanwhile, the stopgap of farming appears increasingly precarious as climate change brings extreme temperatures and scorching crops.
Sajan Arora, a 28-year-old farmer in India’s breadbasket state of Punjab, can no longer depend on the ancestral farmland his family has relied on to survive. He, his wife and his seven-month-old daughter plan to join the family in Britain and find work there after selling some land.
“Agriculture has no way forward,” said Arora, saying he will do whatever work he can get, driving a taxi, working in a store or on a construction site.
He's sad to leave his parents and childhood home behind but believes the uncertainty of change offers “better prospects” than his current reality.
“If everything was right and well, why would we go? If we want a better life, we will have to leave,” he said.