Exports grow for fourth straight month, trade deficit narrows

Even as the impact of demonetisation on the economy is still unfolding, India’s foreign trade data for the month of December 2016 was upbeat.

NEW DELHI: Even as the impact of demonetisation on the economy is still unfolding, India’s foreign trade data for the month of December 2016 was upbeat.

Exports, which account for about one-fifth of India’s gross domestic product, continued to grow for the fourth month in a row, expanding by 5.72 per cent year-on-year to $23.9 billion in December 2016, compared to $22.6 billion in the year-ago period. This is the highest level since 2015.

Imports stood at $34.35 billion, slightly rising by 0.46 per cent during the month under review, leading to a sharp fall in trade deficit to $10.37 billion, down from $13 billion in November 2016.
Considering the increase in crude oil prices as a result of OPEC output cut agreement last year, oil imports increased 14.6 per cent to $7.64 billion against $6.67 billion in December 2015. Non-oil imports fell 2.98 per cent to $26.608 billion compared to $27.42 per cent reported in the year-ago period.
Gold imports slumped 48.49 per cent to $1.95 billion from $3.80 billion in December 2015. In November, gold imports spurted 23.24 per cent to $4.36 billion, which had pushed the trade deficit to a two-year high. The November spike was widely believed to be rise in gold purchases in the initial days of demonetisation.
 Among other categories, iron and steel imports saw a fairly large increase of 29 per cent month-on-month to $1.2 billion while electronic goods imports increased 13 per cent to 3.99 billion. Export of engineering goods grew 19.89 per cent to $5.84 billion.

In the April-June 2016 quarter, India’s exports contracted 2.1 per cent to $65.3 billion, while imports dropped 14.5 per cent to $84.5 billion, leaving a trade deficit of $19.2 billion. However, during the April-December 2016 period, exports swelled marginally by 0.75 per cent to $198.8 billion, while imports dropped 7.42 per cent to $275.3 billion. The trade deficit during the nine-month period was $76.54 billion.

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