India's second quarter GDP slows to 7.1 per cent from 8.2 in Q1

'GDP at constant (2011-12) prices in Q2 of 2018-19 is estimated at Rs 33.98 lakh crore, as against Rs 31.72 lakh crore in Q2 of 2017-18,' said the Q2 estimates released by the CSO.
Image used for reresentational purpose only.
Image used for reresentational purpose only.

NEW DELHI: India's economic growth moderated to 7.1 percent in the July-September quarter, dragged down by slower consumer spending and farm growth, weakening as Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government turns its attention to an election due by May.

India's growth is still faster than China's 6.5 percent in the same quarter, but a come-down from the more than two-year high of 8.2 percent set in the June quarter. Some economists expect the slowdown to stretch on to the election, or beyond.

The Statistics Ministry released data showing a decline in growth of the farm sector and consumer spending, raising fears that slower rural wage growth could hit growth in the second half of the fiscal year ending in March 2019.

The latest quarter's annual pace of growth was lower than a Reuters poll forecast of 7.4 percent. The gross domestic product figure was "disappointing", Subhash Chandra Garg, economic affairs secretary, said.

A fall in food prices has hit rural incomes in recent months, which in turn dampened sales of consumer durables and other products.

Tens of thousands of farmers and rural workers marched to the Indian parliament in the capital, New Delhi, on Friday in a protest against soaring operating costs and plunging produce prices that have brought misery to many.

Farm output grew 3.8 percent year-on-year in the September quarter compared with 5.3 percent the previous quarter.

The construction sector, one of the biggest employers after agriculture, grew 7.8 percent year-on-year, slower than 8.7 percent in the previous quarter.

Several factors conspired to hold the economy back during the middle of this year, including a weak rupee and a squeeze in India's shadow banking sector that hindered both investment and consumption.

Some economists expect growth to slow to around 7 percent in the second half of this fiscal year due to state spending cuts, muted rural demand and the statistical impact of higher growth in the same period a year ago.

"There is a need to revise down growth projections as growth for the whole fiscal year could remain at around 7 percent," said N.R.Bhanumurthy, an economist at National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, a Delhi-based think tank.

"The slowdown in farm sector growth, consumer spending has hit economic growth hard."

India's $2.6 trillion economy, Asia's third largest, grew 6.3 percent in the July-September quarter of 2017, the data released by the statistics ministry showed.

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