Exit polls to give way for crowd-sourced poll prediction

FOR the first time in the country, the forthcoming elections in Gujarat will witness the use of crowd-sourced election results prediction as an alternative to the conventional exit polls and surveys.

CHENNAI: For the first time in the country, the forthcoming elections in Gujarat will witness the use of crowd-sourced election results prediction as an alternative to the conventional exit polls and surveys.

Crowd-sourced poll prediction methods assess what a voter predicts will happen irrespective of whether one wants that outcome or not. This is distinct from conventional surveys and polls that are structured to know what a person wants to happen.

In elections in the West, voter predictions on polling day have been more accurate as the public generate an informed consensus rather than the average of opinions computed by conventional survey agencies.

The new methodology is being deployed by technology company Idealantis Technologies in collaboration with the political research organisation Peoples Pulse. Voter predictions will be gathered on both Gujarat polling days, Dec. 9 and 14, and made public at 6 pm on Dec. 14 on the datalantis.cultivateforecasts.com website.

The market size for crowd-sourced election prediction system will gather data from hundreds of thousands of voters.

The use of technology will enable real time analysis of data on the basis of voter predictions, said Idealantis Technologies managing director Sai Panyam.

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