ICRA revises outlook for residential real estate to stable for FY23

Mathew Kurian, Vice President, ICRA, said: "The sharp recovery in demand in the aftermath of Covid has improved pricing flexibility, particularly in completed projects."
Image for representational purpose only. (File Photo)
Image for representational purpose only. (File Photo)

NEW DELHI: Credit rating agency ICRA on Friday said it has revised the outlook for residential real estate for the current fiscal to stable from negative on improved demand.

The revision in the outlook has been "supported by multi-year high sales which in turn is driven by increasing preference for homeownership, improved affordability, all-time-low home loan interest rate, among other factors", ICRA said in a statement. Housing sales in top seven cities are expected to grow by 3 per cent this fiscal.

Mathew Kurian, Vice President, ICRA, said: "The sharp recovery in demand in the aftermath of Covid has improved pricing flexibility, particularly in completed projects."

In FY23 as well, he said the prices are expected to rise, depending on the project-specific sales traction, to compensate for the rise in construction cost seen in recent quarters.

"Healthy demand prospects and pricing flexibility in completed projects can help developers to maintain profitability margins," Kurian said.

"The demand is expected to remain firm even if there is an increase in the interest rate on home loans by 50-75 bps from current levels," he added.

New launches are expected to be ramped up significantly, supported by reduced unsold inventory levels and steady demand. "We expect launches to be around 400 million square feet in FY2023, which is 21 per cent higher than the estimated launches of 330 million square feet in FY2022," Kurian said.

The larger and reputed builders with better delivery track records continue to gain market share while the weaker players are yet to fully recover, he added.

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