A metro train runs on a track after Delhi Metros remaining portion of the Pink Line corridor was inaugurated, in New Delhi, Friday, Aug. 6, 2021. Photo | Parveen Negi, EPS
Delhi

The 9 million shift

Delhi is likely to add 90 lakh people in the Master Plan of Delhi-2047 period. The migrant-heavy shift has made city planners build on their 2021 blueprint, and deviate from it occasionally. Aditi Ray Chowdhury reviews hits and misses of the two plans

Aditi Ray Chowdhury

In a constantly changing, ever-developing city like Delhi, needs change, population grows and infrastructure struggles to keep pace. It was to address these concerns that the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) was set up in 1957, followed by the city’s first Master Plan in 1962. Since then, the city, and the country, has come a long way—from the population pressures of a post-Partition city to a major demographic and urban shift.

After Master Plan 2021, the city is now set to get Master Plan 2047, formally announced by the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs (MoHUA) along with the DDA last week. It envisages a comprehensive overhaul of the city, while working with its existing built-up areas (brownfield) and areas available for development (greenfield). The plan may have been designed for a city of nearly 3.2 crore people, but much of what lies at the heart of this new blueprint is familiar.

Many central features of the new plan like redevelopment, densification, private-sector participation, alternative land assembly, flexible development norms as well as Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) were already part of Master Plan 2021, as acknowledged by the 2047 document.

However, what changes in MPD 2047 is the scale, integration and ambition with which the ideas are being implemented. A study of both the plans by this newspaper reveals that the new plan seeks to accommodate a much larger population while simultaneously planning for brownfield regeneration, greenfield expansion, high-density corridors, multimodal transport, new economic activities, climate resilience and measurable outcomes.

Heavy queues on platforms of Rajiv Chowk Metro Station in New Delhi.

Demographic canvas moves fast

The MPD 2021 was prepared around a projected population of 2.3 crore by 2021. To accommodate that population, it adopted a three-pronged strategy: encourage population movement towards NCR towns; increase the population holding capacity within existing urban limits through redevelopment and extend boundaries where necessary.

The plan also estimated that existing residential areas could accommodate about 153 lakh people. Among the remaining 77 lakh, 29 lakh were already living in villages, unauthorised colonies and JJ clusters.

MPD-2047 starts with a larger demographic canvas of nearly 3.2 crore people. The new MPD proposes a two-pronged spatial strategy: regenerate and densify existing urban areas while developing new areas through Land Pooling and other mechanisms. In other words, the old city and the new city are being planned together.

In terms of housing, the 2021 plan estimated that Delhi would require around 24 lakh additional dwelling units. Of these, 20 lakh were meant for additional population and about four lakh represented the backlog.

However, it estimated that around 40% of the housing needs could potentially be met through redevelopment of existing areas.

The same philosophy continues in MPD-2047 at a larger scale. The plan estimates that Delhi will need about 40 lakh additional houses till 2047, taking into account population growth, changing household sizes and future urban expansion.

The new plan’s brownfield strategy specifically targets ageing housing stock, under-utilised plots and low-density areas where infrastructure already exists. The objective is to create additional housing while upgrading roads, utilities, public spaces and community facilities.

MPD 2021 had already recognised the need to cater to the urban poor through different housing models, including slum and JJ rehabilitation. It also called for regularisation of unauthorised colonies. The new plan takes this forward through in-situ rehabilitation of slums under “Jahan Jhuggi, Wahan Makan” and a framework for regularisation and redevelopment of unauthorised colonies.

Densification is another idea that cannot be credited exclusively to MPD 2047. As per the MPD 2021, it was explicitly proposed to increase the holding capacity of existing urban areas. It also called for the re-densification of lower-density areas and selected sections of metro corridors, along with special redevelopment schemes.

The 2047 plan takes that principle and places it inside a much broader brownfield framework. It further seeks to direct growth towards strategic centres and corridors supported by high-capacity public transport and infrastructure, using incentives such as higher floor area ration (FAR) and transferable development rights (TDR).

Thereby, the change is from densification being a tool of population absorption to being part of an integrated strategy.

TOD: Old idea, deeper integration

Transit-oriented development is perhaps the clearest example of an idea that has moved from one plan to the next. The 2047 document records that TOD was introduced in 2015 to restructure the city around mass-transit station nodes.

The new plan proposes integrating land use and transport by optimising density and allowing mixed uses close to Metro, RRTS, railway and other transit nodes. It also creates a High Density Corridor Zone along the executed stretch of Urban Extension Road-II, where compact, mixed-use and high-density development will combine residential, warehousing, logistics and commercial activities.

The 2021 plan sought to use Metro corridors and redevelopment to shape where people lived and how the city absorbed population. Meanwhile, MPD 2047 seeks to integrate housing, jobs, commercial activity, public services and multiple modes of transport around those corridors.

A heavy traffic jam with long queues of vehicles is seen on the Barapullah flyover, in New Delhi.

From land use to economic ecosystems

The 2021 plan was hardly silent on the economy. Back then, it had projected a workforce of 83.82 lakh by 2021, with trade and commerce accounting for 30.2% and other services for 33.2%. It also noted the growing importance of the services sector and called for emphasis on tertiary activities including commerce, sports, IT applications, cultural activities and tourism.

However, MPD-2047 frames the economic question more expansively. It looks forth to investment-ready business and commercial districts, innovation and research ecosystems, industrial and logistics centres and specialised economic zones. The new plan’s High Density Corridor is designed to combine residential, warehousing, logistics and commercial activities.

Additionally, the plan proposes provisions for rental accommodation for youth and workers in emerging sectors, tourism and hospitality infrastructure through special local-area planning.

MPD 2021 planned where economic activities would occur but MPD 2047 increasingly attempts to plan the ecosystem around those activities—transport, housing, infrastructure, digital connectivity and public realm.

Yamuna gets a more ecological framework

Provisions for the Yamuna cannot be necessarily termed as something new in the master plan for the national capital.

The earlier plan already had a dedicated set of measures for rejuvenation of River Yamuna. It referred to the action plan for cleaning the river, called for groundwater recharge and decentralised wastewater treatment, and proposed floodplain reservoirs to retain excess monsoon water.

The MPD 2047 proposes ecological restoration along the 22 km stretch between Wazirabad and Okhla, along with 13 major restoration projects covering approximately 1,700 hectares of floodplain. These are aimed at restoring wetlands, natural depressions, floodplain ecosystems and biodiversity.

In addition to that, it proposes intercepting and treating all 22 drains discharging into the river and integrating restored drain corridors with green spaces and floodplains.

Public transport to integrated system

The need to strengthen mass transit was already recognised in the previous plan. It discussed Bus Rapid Transport System (BRTS), light rail and battery-operated buses on selected routes and called for interchange stations integrating different modes, pedestrian facilities and feeder buses.

MPD 2047 retains that foundation but widens it by calling for integration of transport networks as the key to a sustainable public transport system, with Metro and buses forming the primary network and Regional Rapid Transport System (RRTS), BRTS, Metro Lite, Metro Neo and other systems reinforcing. It also proposes feeder services and better last-mile connectivity.

However, the 2021 planner did have a monitoring architecture. It proposed an Enforcement and Plan Monitoring Group and called for periodic review and its review provisions envisaged mid-term corrections and modifications to policies.

The 2047 plan’s monitoring framework calls for periodic review of Key Performance Indicators (KPI), timelines and action points, with detailed review every five years. It also proposes KPI-based evaluation. The framework will track 20 suggestive city level KPIs and shift monitoring from creation of assets to assessment of impacts.

So what is really new?

The comparison between the two plans suggests that the most interesting story is not a catalogue of new provisions. The newness actually lies in the combination.

MPD 2021 already had redevelopment. It had densification, public-private participation, alternative land assembly, TOD, housing for the poor, regularisation of unauthorised colonies, public transport, as well as a framework for Yamuna rejuvenation.

What MPD 2047 essentially does is that it takes many of those ideas and places them in a city expected to house nearly 3.2 crore people. The earlier plan was fundamentally trying to make room for a growing Delhi but the latest plan is trying to reorganise the existing city while making room for a larger one.

The unresolved question, however, is the same—implementation. The answer in MPD 2047 is a planning framework that puts greater emphasis on regeneration, infrastructure-led development, integration and measurable outcomes. Whether that produces a different Delhi will depend on whether the city can turn familiar ideas like redevelopment or planned growth into outcomes that residents can actually see. The blueprint has changed. But much of the agenda has not.

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