Gold and Silver see sharp correction after record rally; experts say fall is due to profit booking File photo/ ANI
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Gold, silver slide after record run as profit-taking sparks sharp correction

Friday’s slide appears to be a corrective pause rather than a trend reversal. Gold and silver may continue to experience sharp swings, but the forces that drove them to record territory in January continue to shape a supportive longer-term narrative for precious metals.

TNIE online desk

Gold and silver prices retreated sharply on Friday, January 30, 2026, as investors locked in profits after an extraordinary rally that had pushed both metals to historic highs earlier in the month. The pullback reflected a combination of technical correction, a firmer US dollar, and shifting expectations around US monetary policy, even as broader macro and geopolitical factors continued to lend longer-term support to precious metals.

In international markets, spot gold slipped more than four percent during the session, falling back toward the $5,200 per ounce zone after touching record levels above $5,500 earlier in the week. US gold futures mirrored the decline. Silver also corrected steeply, easing by around three to four percent to near $110 per ounce, after briefly trading well above $120 per ounce during its recent surge. Despite Friday’s losses, both metals remained on course for one of their strongest monthly performances in decades, underscoring the scale of the rally seen through January.

Indian markets reflected a similar pattern. Gold prices stayed elevated but showed signs of consolidation, with 24-carat gold hovering close to the Rs 1.75–Rs 1.80 lakh per 10 grams range in major cities. Silver prices, which had climbed to unprecedented levels earlier in the week, traded near Rs 4 lakh per kilogram, slightly off their peaks but still far higher than historical averages. Bullion dealers reported mixed local demand, with some buyers stepping back due to high prices, while others used the dip as an opportunity to add positions.

The dominant driver behind Friday’s decline was widespread profit booking. After weeks of relentless gains, traders and short-term investors chose to reduce exposure, especially as technical indicators signalled overbought conditions. The rebound in the US dollar added pressure, making dollar-denominated commodities less attractive for overseas buyers. At the same time, market chatter about a potentially more hawkish tilt in future US Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction lifted bond yields marginally, further weighing on non-yielding assets such as gold and silver.

Even so, the broader backdrop that fuelled the rally remains largely intact. Persistent geopolitical tensions, including conflicts and flashpoints in multiple regions, continue to support safe-haven demand. Central bank buying of gold has remained robust, reinforcing the metal’s role as a strategic reserve asset. For silver, strong industrial consumption from sectors such as solar energy, electric vehicles, electronics, and advanced manufacturing has added a powerful structural tailwind, tightening supply-demand balances.

January’s rally in precious metals has been remarkable in scale and speed. Gold has gained more than twenty percent during the month, marking its strongest January performance in several decades. Silver has risen even more sharply, delivering one of its most explosive short-term advances on record. This surge has been amplified by speculative inflows, exchange-traded fund activity, and concerns over currency debasement in several major economies.

Market participants now expect a period of heightened volatility. In the near term, prices could see further consolidation or modest correction as traders assess whether the rally has moved too far, too fast. However, many analysts argue that any meaningful dip is likely to attract fresh buying interest, given the strength of underlying fundamentals. The medium-term outlook remains constructive as long as global growth uncertainties persist, geopolitical risks stay elevated, and real interest rates remain relatively low.

"The broader structure remains firmly bullish, though the market is witnessing fast intraday swings, reflecting short-term overheating and tactical profit booking after the recent sharp rise. The rising channel remains intact, and pullbacks continue to attract buyers, suggesting that selling pressure is being absorbed efficiently. The Rs 1,57,000–Rs 1,59,000 zone continues to act as a strong dynamic support. A sustained hold above Rs 1,68,000 could revive upside momentum toward Rs 1,74,000–Rs 1,77,000, keeping the medium-term outlook constructive despite near-term volatility," says R Ponmudi of wealth tech firm Enrich Money.

"Silver remains in a strong rising channel, but the recent move has left prices overbought, resulting in quick rise–quick fall price action driven by aggressive profit booking. Importantly, prices are holding above key moving averages, suggesting that the ongoing pause is a healthy consolidation rather than trend exhaustion. Support is placed in the $106–$108 zone, and a sustained breakout above $118–$121 could trigger the next impulsive move toward $125–$140 over the intermediate term. Structural supply deficits and industrial demand continue to underpin the bullish bias," he added.

Looking ahead, investors will closely monitor signals from the US Federal Reserve, movements in the dollar, and developments on the geopolitical front. Physical demand trends in major consuming nations, central bank purchase data, and ETF flows will also provide important clues about the sustainability of the rally.

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