Pakistan team has been asked to boycott India match by its government AFP
Cricket

Repercussion of a no show: Low ad revenue, tourism in Sri Lanka may take a hit

If Pakistan do not play India, there could be losses to broadcasters, hosts SL tourism sector and other associated businesses

Swaroop Swaminathan

CHENNAI: The International Cricket Council (ICC) is still hopeful of a suitable resolution but the cricketing world has started to fret over the cost of a no show. Going beyond the jingoism of one India - Pakistan match, it actually sustains many countries lower down in the food chain. Because that match brings in advertisers by the dozen, the broadcaster is the king as they know they can set any price. For example, a typical India - Pakistan game, from the broadcaster's perspective, will be sold as a Category A fixture. What does this mean? Premium ad rates, additional surcharges on top of that, L-shaped ads during overs and extra inventories before the match, during the break and after the match. While India's dominating performances in the last few games may have lessened the game as a competition, the spectacle — 'mahaul (environment)' — according to an insider will remain because of the history.

Ad rates well beyond `15,000 per 10 seconds for February 15. All of that has seemingly vanished into thin air. While the reported $250mn may be slightly exaggerated, this remains one of the most valuable fixtures in all of sport. It's why Sony made an educated gamble when they bid and picked up the Asia Cup; the guarantee of at least one India - Pakistan encounter coupled with the promise of as many as three for a potentially basement price of $170mn for the 2024-31 cycle. It's understood that they have recouped a portion of that money from one Asia Cup alone.

When Jio (before the merger with Star) purchased the ICC media rights for the 24-27 cycle for $3bn, it was based on the promise of at least one India - Pakistan game at every ICC event. Here's something to tell you that the valuations were inflated as they didn't feel value in the product even when India won the T20 World Cup in 2024 as well as the Champions Trophy in 2025. Reports that they were seeking an exit may have been posturing to renegotiate a deal at a lower price because of the changing market conditions but they were true.

What happens now? If this match doesn't go ahead, further India - Pakistan matches in this cycle come into focus. What happens to the one in England a few months down the line? What happens to the one at next year's World Cup in South Africa? As it is, some members are conscious of a steep fall in funding from the ICC from the next cycle — Netherlands have put that figure at 30 per cent. They may have to be brazed for a hair cut now itself if this match doesn't take place. And that hair cut may be bigger if the BCCI and the rest of the Big Three — Australia and England — are adamant about not taking home a reduced pay packet.

These are worrying times for the ICC, JioStar and most of the cricketing world not named India, Australia and England.

Another country who may have a quiet word with the ICC about the fate of the match is Sri Lanka. The loss of this one match could hit their tourism industry by a few millions. Indians were expected to travel by their thousands as it's just a short flight (80 minutes from Chennai). With the game falling on a weekend, fans may have planned a short holiday around the match. Hotels had already bumped up their prices because of the demand.

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